Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.976526 2.149099 2.332905 2.543762 2.779597 3.035962 3.336692
2025-12-07 1.710512 1.943593 2.206334 2.526345 2.908137 3.352249 3.912642
2025-12-14 1.533553 1.796807 2.105654 2.498403 2.989820 3.591472 4.394949
2025-12-21 1.373500 1.646580 1.976737 2.410680 2.974149 3.692626 4.697306
2025-12-28 1.287802 1.575927 1.933871 2.418785 3.070518 3.934066 5.196332
2026-01-04 1.224843 1.526618 1.910769 2.445682 3.187782 4.206983 5.760964
2026-01-11 1.172800 1.486103 1.893839 2.476064 3.307928 4.489642 6.365680
2026-01-18 1.125640 1.447808 1.875579 2.500692 3.418576 4.764578 6.985637
2026-01-25 1.077274 1.404121 1.845957 2.505214 3.497640 4.996235 7.560288
2026-02-01 1.015244 1.337656 1.779929 2.451268 3.483025 5.079878 7.897728
2026-02-08 0.964785 1.284359 1.728936 2.415042 3.490949 5.196929 8.301266
2026-02-15 0.925554 1.244712 1.694909 2.401225 3.531419 5.367937 8.816782
2026-02-22 0.908353 1.236424 1.706916 2.459845 3.694521 5.762063 9.800106
2026-03-01 0.872453 1.198990 1.673494 2.445009 3.735508 5.950358 10.419353
2026-03-08 0.836380 1.159443 1.634559 2.418388 3.753694 6.098551 10.977527
2026-03-15 0.788730 1.100430 1.562921 2.334239 3.666377 6.046525 11.116623
2026-03-22 0.766586 1.078918 1.547997 2.342018 3.739586 6.297557 11.929695
2026-03-29 0.750086 1.065164 1.544280 2.367827 3.846189 6.621390 12.950868
2026-04-05 0.735330 1.053336 1.542817 2.396977 3.960532 6.971033 14.087444
2026-04-12 0.720240 1.040244 1.538506 2.420603 4.065900 7.312745 15.263368
2026-04-19 0.702041 1.021422 1.523861 2.424941 4.134456 7.584784 16.314330
2026-04-26 0.673712 0.985343 1.479210 2.373187 4.090171 7.612767 16.742139
2026-05-03 0.650301 0.956321 1.445050 2.338426 4.076678 7.705625 17.357197